GoBills808 Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 Just now, joesixpack said: That's my big reason for going Lions. Everyone and their cocaine-addled sister are picking the Saints. IF there's an upset there, I'm golden. Exactly. Especially early, I stay away from 'lock' picks because A- everyone is taking that game and an upset really thins the herd and B- first few weeks of the regular season are always turbulent, hard to predict...especially divisional games. Not only am I staying away from Saints in suicide, I have a $50 sidebet that the Bucaneers cover. And since I only get to pick each team once, I want the Saints next week at home against the Browns WAY more than opening week against a division opponent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 1 minute ago, GoBills808 said: I want the Saints next week at home against the Browns Yahtzee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 4 hours ago, eball said: I think Green Bay, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh are sucker picks this week -- all have a legitimate chance to lose. New Orleans is probably the safest, but they're also one of the most popular so I'm staying away because there are lots of "good" picks down the line (Detroit, Carolina, Rams). I also try to stay away from divisional games if at all possible. Good tip about divisional games, I find they typically end closer then most other games do against non divisional teams so i dont typically go with the spread if it's high for the favorite. 1 hour ago, joesixpack said: That's my big reason for going Lions. Everyone and their cocaine-addled sister are picking the Saints. IF there's an upset there, I'm golden. But your also picking the Lions, a time that could resort to their usual bad selves and lose to a young Jets team.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, apuszczalowski said: Good tip about divisional games, I find they typically end closer then most other games do against non divisional teams so i dont typically go with the spread if it's high for the favorite. But your also picking the Lions, a time that could resort to their usual bad selves and lose to a young Jets team.... If it was AT new york, I'd have concerns. I don't have the faith in Darnold some around here do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro T Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 Vikes. Though the way Garrapolo finished the year, not extremely confident in them. Hate week 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 (edited) 3 hours ago, joesixpack said: If it was AT new york, I'd have concerns. I don't have the faith in Darnold some around here do. My concern isnt about having faith in Darnold, I just think that they have improved a bit from last year and the Lions arent that great of a team that can be expected to not lose games they Re expected to win. I have the Lions to win in a pick'em pool this week, just wouldn't be confident enough to take them in a survivor pool just yet against the Jets. 4 hours ago, GoBills808 said: Exactly. Especially early, I stay away from 'lock' picks because A- everyone is taking that game and an upset really thins the herd and B- first few weeks of the regular season are always turbulent, hard to predict...especially divisional games. Not only am I staying away from Saints in suicide, I have a $50 sidebet that the Bucaneers cover. And since I only get to pick each team once, I want the Saints next week at home against the Browns WAY more than opening week against a division opponent. I never worry about what others are picking in a survivor pool cause it doesnt matter, you need to worry about yourself only cause a win is still the same whether the entire pool picked it or your the only one. If it comes down to picking between teams sometimes I will try and save some teams for later, but otherwise I just take whomever I feel has the best chance to win Edited September 6, 2018 by apuszczalowski Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 Rams ... Gruden should've stayed in the booth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 14 hours ago, apuszczalowski said: But your also picking the Lions, a time that could resort to their usual bad selves and lose to a young Jets team.... 13 hours ago, joesixpack said: If it was AT new york, I'd have concerns. I don't have the faith in Darnold some around here do. Lions are not a bad team, and Patricia likely knows how to confuse a rookie QB. I think Detroit is a strong pick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, eball said: Lions are not a bad team, and Patricia likely knows how to confuse a rookie QB. I think Detroit is a strong pick. The Lions could be good, but Patricia is unknown at this point as a head coach, as much as Darnold. Patricia could come out looking like Rex Ryan and Darnold like Brady or je could look like BB with Darnold looking like Manzel. BBs former coordinators haven't had good track records once they leave him and are on their own..... I think this game falls into the "too risky" category of a pick for a survivor/suicide pool pick in week 1 Edited September 7, 2018 by apuszczalowski Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted September 7, 2018 Author Share Posted September 7, 2018 (edited) 39 minutes ago, apuszczalowski said: The Lions could be good, but Patricia is unknown at this point as a head coach, as much as Darnold. Patricia could come out looking like Rex Ryan and Darnold like Brady or je could look like BB with Darnold looking like Manzel. BBs former coordinators haven't had good track records once they leave him and are on their own..... I think this game falls into the "too risky" category of a pick for a survivor/suicide pool pick in week 1 The odds are far greater that Patricia shuts down Darnold than Darnold looks like Brady. If this were a home Jets game, I'd be more wary. Edited September 7, 2018 by Doc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemfield2622 Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 On 9/6/2018 at 12:59 AM, KD in CA said: Tempting, but it's a lonely walk of shame if the Bills pull it off. I did OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Clemfield2622 said: I did OK I'm through to week 2 in mine and am not as mad about the result in the game today. Makes me think I might look into the Chargers as my choice next week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clemfield2622 Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, apuszczalowski said: I'm through to week 2 in mine and am not as mad about the result in the game today. Makes me think I might look into the Chargers as my choice next week.... I think picking against the Bills is going to be very chic the 1st 8 weeks or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Clemfield2622 said: I think picking against the Bills is going to be very chic the 1st 8 weeks or so... Problem is in week 3 and 4, do you wanna waste the Vikes and Packers this early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
row_33 Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Duh, Saints.... this is the easiest win for them all season... lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted September 9, 2018 Author Share Posted September 9, 2018 (edited) 32% knocked out so far in my pool thanks to the Saints losing. If the Bills had won, another 22% would have been gone. Hopefully the Packers lose tonight so another 13% get knocked out. And hopefully the Lions and Rams win tomorrow night. Edited September 10, 2018 by Doc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apuszczalowski Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 37 minutes ago, Doc said: 32% knocked out so far in my pool thanks to the Saints losing. If the Bills had won, another 22% would have been gone. Hopefully the Packers lose tonight so another 13% get knocked out. And hopefully the Lions and Rams win tomorrow night. In one I'm in, over 60 of 183 people took the Saints as their pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted September 10, 2018 Author Share Posted September 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, apuszczalowski said: In one I'm in, over 60 of 183 people took the Saints as their pick. Not surprising and I would have as well, but wanted to save the Saints for later on. Good thing I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
/dev/null Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 Detroit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bbb Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 Is the pool about how many Bills fans committed suicide today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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