JÂy RÛßeÒ Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 (edited) Other than our own, of course... https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html So I put in probable winners for Buffalo, Tennessee, Kansas City, Baltimore, and San Diego for the 3 remaining games: Buffalo sweeps Miami and loses to New England Tennessee beats San Fran but loses to Rams and Jacksonville KC wins out (beats Chargers & Miami at home, and Denver) Chargers lose to KC but beat Jets & Raiders Ravens win out (beat Cleveland, Indy, & Cinci) All seem fairly plausible, right? Not so sure about KC considering how bad they've looked lately but 2 of the 3 are at home so that's something. Bills chance of making playoffs with these wins plugged in... 100%!!!!!!!!! But if I switch winners in just one of two of these games, it goes down to 0%. Those games are Chargers @ KC and Jacksonville @ Tennessee With KC and Baltimore winning out, KC wins the west and Baltimore gets wild card #1. So we're competing with Tennessee and LA for wild card #2 and apparently we win a 3-way tiebreaker with them. However, if LA wins out and KC goes 2-1, we do not win a 3-way tiebreaker with KC and Tennessee even though we beat KC. So... GO CHIEFS! GO JAGS! GO RAVENS! Edited December 11, 2017 by JÂy RÛßeÒ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills!Win! Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 (edited) If the chargers win out that means they win their division, plus it means they have a win over KC which would put KC at 9-7 with buffalo where we would surpass KC due to head to head. So root for LA chargers then? Edited December 11, 2017 by Bills!Win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bills!Win! said: If the chargers win out that means they win their division, plus it means they have a win over KC which would put KC at 9-7 with buffalo where we would surpass KC due to head to head. So root for LA chargers then? + 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt_In_NH Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 It is 100% or 0% because the regular season would be over so you are in or you are not. A win over KC might not guarantee you much in a 3 or more way tie. We definitely need the Titans to continue to lose. They could lose to SF. Right now I would guess the Chargers will win in KC with how they are playing. But that could go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JÂy RÛßeÒ Posted December 11, 2017 Author Share Posted December 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, Bills!Win! said: If the chargers win out that means they win their division, plus it means they have a win over KC which would put KC at 9-7 with buffalo where we would surpass KC due to head to head. So root for LA chargers then? Apparently not because it will probably be a 3-way tie with Tennessee and for some reason we don't win a 3-way with KC and Tennessee but we do with LA and Tennessee. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Well, the good news is the Ravens can win out and we can still make the WC, because their schedule is soft. Although the Browns are improving, (odd thing to say)--and the Colts gave the Steelers a close scare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBill Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 As tough as the task is the Bills really need to win out if they really want to get there. The road back to relevance literally goes through NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 2 hours ago, Bills!Win! said: If the chargers win out that means they win their division, plus it means they have a win over KC which would put KC at 9-7 with buffalo where we would surpass KC due to head to head. So root for LA chargers then? No. If the LAC beat KC, then Bills would need a 2way tie with KC to get in. That means they would need TEN to lose all of last three. Concede that BAL will win out vs CLE , IND, CIN . KC defeats LAC. Bills then need a 3 way tie at 9-7 with LAC, TEN to get in. That seems more realistic than TEN losing out. Bills fans should root for a Chiefs win on Sat vs LAC, although the Bills CAN get in regardless of who wins. 2 hours ago, JÂy RÛßeÒ said: Apparently not because it will probably be a 3-way tie with Tennessee and for some reason we don't win a 3-way with KC and Tennessee but we do with LA and Tennessee. Weird. Bills win strength of victory tiebreaker with LAC and TEN, have an insurmountable lead in that category. They would lose common games tb or SOVif KC is involved in a 3way tie. So they need a 2way tie with KC . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SF Bills Fan Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 We want the Titans to lose 2 of 3 and Chargers to beat KC this weekend. We beat Dolphins twice and that is the path in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 15 minutes ago, SF Bills Fan said: We want the Titans to lose 2 of 3 and Chargers to beat KC this weekend. We beat Dolphins twice and that is the path in. Bills probably want KC to beat the Chargers , then a 3way tie with LAC, TEN at 9-7 as easiest path in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JÂy RÛßeÒ Posted December 11, 2017 Author Share Posted December 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, SF Bills Fan said: We want the Titans to lose 2 of 3 and Chargers to beat KC this weekend. We beat Dolphins twice and that is the path in. Incorrect. Against all intuition, if we're in a 3-way tie it has to be with Tennessee and the Chargers for us to come out on top. Unless you think either the Chargers or the Chiefs will lose 2 more to end up at 8-8, and we end up tied at 9-7 with Tennessee. In that case, looks like we take tiebreaker over the Titans. But I'm not sure how you get 2 losses for KC (Chargers, Miami, @ Denver) or Chargers (@ KC, @ Jets, Oakland). In this scenario, Miami will have lost 7 of their previous 8 and Denver is really not good. The Chargers could possibly lose to the Raiders in the finale I suppose. I'm just going off the most logical picks of each game and if that happens, we're in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chaccof Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Who's on first? What's on Second? Idunnno? Third base! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magox Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just win, Baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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