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Rock'em Sock'em

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Posts posted by Rock'em Sock'em

  1. In order of benefit

    1. TD

    2. Pick up 1st down

    3. FG

    4. Punt inside 20 or INT inside 20

    5. Punt for a touchback or INT for a touchback

    6. Incomplete pass

    7. Sack or TFL less than 8 yards

    8. Missed FG

    9. 10 yard sack

    10. Turn over returned past the 42 yard line or for a TD

     

    Analytics says go for it.  That's a good decision.  They didn't make the play, which happens.  The outcome was not what they wanted, but it could have been worse.  It turned out better than a missed FG.

  2. 6 hours ago, YattaOkasan said:

    Also its super weird that the Lions won the division and are so much lower than the Packers.  I dont understand that really at all.  their records arent different enough to account for that.

    Lions play Packers twice.

    Packers play Lions twice.

  3. Fields could be amazing with this current Dolphins team.  Compared to Tua, he has a better arm, ability to run, ability to bye time, and better ability to throw on the run. Tua's thing is that he hits on those 2.2s throws that go 15 yards down the hash marks to Hill.  But that seems like an overall play design thing, not skillset that is specific to Tua.  Tua has also been very accurate on the deep throws to a wide open Hill.  Apparently, that's a skillset that not every QB has.  eh-hmmm.

  4. 17 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said:

    Diggs contract is hefty and runs through the next three seasons.  The Bills would take a big cap hit if he is gone before the 2027 season.

    If cut after the 2024 season, there would be a cap savings of around $5M.  Depending on how 2024 goes, that could happen.

  5. 4 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

    Why does Cook get benched for fumbling but Davis doesn't for dropping the ball into the safety's hands

    Not specifically defending Davis, but drops happen with every WR.  In one case a player has possession of the ball and has it taken away.  In the other case, possession was not established.  Ideally professional receivers would catch everything that hits there hands.  I don't know why that doesn't happen.  Also, isn't Davis the player in possession of the incriminating photos?

  6. On 9/28/2023 at 1:37 PM, Buffalo_Stampede said:

    A lot of people dislike my garbage time yards post without a rebuttal. You know what that means right? 

    When I think of garbage time, it is for the offense when your team is DOWN by 30 points.  The defense is playing prevent and allowing easy completions - often to the running backs.  Stats are easier to rack up.  When you are UP and you run the clock with 8 minute drives when the defense knows what's coming, that is PRIME TIME, not garbage time.

     

    That not withstanding, we know the kind of player Cook is and his limitations.  I'm glad we have him.

  7. Another brilliant part of the play for New England is that the off rushing end (#27) did not rush the kicker.  He was awaiting to pick up a blocked football for a scoop and score.  Yesterday, the ball did not bounce he was, but it would seem likely to do so based on where he was waiting.

    https://www.patriots.com/video/brenden-schooler-blocks-dolphins-field-goal

     

    Having a speedy edge blocker capable of blocking that player, or putting the edge blocker more off the LOS would have its own consequences. The best counter of this will be changing the snap count and perhaps even using well timed offensive motion and hard counts to draw that player offside. And of course doing that could diminish the ability to focus on the kick.  I'm curious to see how prevalent this becomes.

     

    On a similar note, Kam Chancellor had a few blocked kicks before the NFL put in a rule preventing his technique. https://www.seahawks.com/video/seahawks-safety-kam-chancellor-leaps-to-block-field-goals-184788

  8. 11 hours ago, Malazan said:

    A nugget that may or may not support this.. The last five Superbowls.. 9 of 10 teams had a running back that was drafted in the first 2 rounds (although it may not have been by them)

     

    Some more data for that nugget. 18 teams that have drafted a RB in the first two rounds.  5 of those 18 teams subsequently made it to the Super Bowl.  Of the 14 teams that have not drafted a RB in the first two rounds, only Bengals and 49ers have made it to a Super Bowl. Looking at the Super Bowl teams during this timeframe, it's pretty obvious a top QB and top defense are the main ingredients.

     

    2022 - Jets, Seahawks, Bills

    2021 - Steelers, Jaguars, Broncos

    2020 - Chiefs*, Lions, Colts, Rams*, Ravens, Packers

    2019 - Raiders, Eagles*

    2018 - Giants, Seahawks, Patriots*, Browns, Bucs*, Lions

  9. 9 hours ago, DCofNC said:

    I think Beane would have taken Baker if he could have and had to settle for the raw prospect.

     

    FACT: At least when this picture was taken, their draft board had Allen #1, Darnold 2, Mayfield 3.  They would have traded up for any of the them.  Oddly, Jackson was not on their board.

     

     

     

  10. 6 hours ago, WhoTom said:

    we can't/won't commit to the run

    Bills are 7th in rushing yards per game and the only team to have 100 yards rushing in every single game.  Five of the teams above us also have QBs that gain rushing yards - a couple of them even more so than Allen.  Where do you see the lack of commitment this season?

     

  11. 4 hours ago, Straight Hucklebuck said:

    4.62 yards per carry (13th) with Allen’s designed runs in there, okay see they’re average.

    I have four thoughts.

    1. You would need to subtract out every other team's non-designed QB runs to determine ranking with that formula.  It may change a position or two (I would guess lower).

    2. Allen's runs are part of our offense.  Defenses actually game plan for it with QB spies and such.  As a team measurement, it's accurate to leave that in.  With all QB runs included, the Bills are at 5.3ypc good for 8th.

    3. Defenses tend to focus on the pass against us and also need to account for Allen.  I would expect the YPC of our RBs to be better than average, and they are.

    4. For the most part, the offensive line absolutely dominated the Bears in the run game.  Here's hoping for the same against the Bengals.

    • Like (+1) 1
  12. If you can block a defender downfield, you might as well be able to block a pile.  It makes for an interesting play.  I'm unaware of anyone getting hurt on this style of play. though I'm sure it's happened.  If ever there is enough data to indicate that this style of play is significantly more injury prone compared to an average play, then adjust the rules.

  13. On 11/22/2022 at 2:21 PM, Big Turk said:

    The argument is that all of the owners, which would almost assuredly have happened with the commissioner's knowledge, got together and decided to put an end to fully guaranteed contracts.

    This might have happened, and if it did it's wrong unless it's being discussed as part of collective bargaining agreements.

     

    I would bet that if Oliver or Edmunds came to the Bills and wanted an under market value contract (say $50 million over 8 years) that was "fully guaranteed", that the Bills or any other team would oblige. So do you think collusion why these deals don't happen?  I think contracts structured with some guarantees and some bonuses and some team or player options actually work better for both parties compared to smaller or shorter fully guaranteed contracts.

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