mike22nc

Really difficult to overcome the coaching advantage.

2nd and 2 - one-on-one with Diggs up top, you have to take the shot. How gross is this *****.

The Bills are losing a half yard on every spot and the Chiefs are doing the opposite.

Putting Matakevitch out there instead of Williams is wild.

Klein better not be out there on drive #2

I’m a bit confused by some people in the thread considering PFF grades to be analytics. Analytics is, in general, the collection, calculation and interpretation of objective statistics. PFF grades are not analytics in my opinion. They are more of a scouting tool, which are subjective and are an interpretation and evaluation of each play on the field. They surely can have value if the evaluation is done well. Do they have the full context when determining their grades? Of course not, just like many statistics don’t take every factor (or even most factors) into account. From what I see, the PFF grading is better and more accurate for certain positions than others. The offensive and defensive lines are particularly difficult to judge and I don’t place much store into the grades provided. Everyone is bringing up Oliver and I would need to jump on that bandwagon. The numbers backup what we’ve been watching all year, and having him outside the top 10 much less the top 50 of the interior lineman is egregious.

Let’s just talk about the math. Regarding expected value of the throw, if Josh thought there was a greater than 42% chance of scoring the TD and he had no other options in the end zone, it was objectively correct to make the throw that he did. On my watch, at the time he let go it looked like it was more likely than not to result in a TD. The only argument against throwing that ball that would be acceptable is the argument that the odds of scoring were lower than 42%, but I didn’t see it that way. If you think the touchdown was more likely than that and still think he shouldn’t have thrown it, I’d like to know why.

The Bills were at their best offensively when Daboll was calling the plays and trying to get a first down on every single play. Brady is even MORE influenced by what McDermott wants on offense than Dorsey was. They just continue to play scared offensively and try to avoid negative plays. It’s a win for this coaching staff to get 3rd and 4. Allen thrives when throwing in neutral situations. We are running too often on 1st and 2nd down and then saying “Josh go make a play” every 3rd down. It’s bad offensive philosophy when you have Josh Allen. It isn’t going to change as long as McDermott is the head coach. After saying all that, while I don’t think it optimizes the Bills chances, they CAN win this way with the way the defense is playing.

Allen completed over 70% of his passes for more than 11 yards per attempt. He also didn’t start 0-3, the first possession he was 2/4. We threw so few passes because…we decided to run on 59% of offensive snaps. Obviously, when you’re running for 8 yards a pop on seemingly every play like we did against Dallas, you can’t argue with it. When you average 3.5 yards per rush and 11.3 yards per pass attempt, I have a HUGE problem with the run/pass ratio being 59/41. Our biggest advantage in every game is our QB vs the oppositions QB. When we decide of our own volition to not take advantage of that, it’s an issue.

More rushes than throws again this week. That’s the way to press your advantage at QB, right?

I truly don’t understand the lack of play-action

Which teams have won a championship so far this year?

Teller doesn’t really have anything to do with the discussion on Elam. However, the problem that I see is that this coaching staff prioritizes fundamentals over talent. So, since Jackson and Benford had a better handle on the defense and what is expected as a zone corner, they got more opportunities last year. This is all well and good when you are playing mediocre quarterbacks on mediocre offenses. The scheme dictates those games and we win easily. The downside is when we play teams with top-tier talent, we are less able to compete. We’re not prioritizing our most athletically gifted player at CB, which is the position that requires the most athleticism in football. If Elam looked like a bust when given an opportunity, I would understand. But, he has looked the part so far to me. I fully expect Elam to be the CB2 this season. If he’s not, it is an error IMO.

The biggest addition may be Tre White almost two years removed from his injury. When he returned last year he wasn’t great. At 28 years old and after another off-season working to get back to form, he should be able to return to the player he was before the injury, which will be huge for this secondary.

Hello, My wife and I are planning to take our daughters (4 and 2) to the preseason game for kid's day. Looking for covered club level seats so the little ones don't get too much sun. There are some on Stubhub that are decently priced but I'd rather avoid paying them ~$30 in fees per ticket if possible. Let me know if you have any available. Thanks, Mike

Oh, I must have misunderstood. I thought we were talking about the current teams, not the ones from 3 and 4 years ago…

1-5 in their last 6 games vs the Bills and Bengals with the only win coming due to an OT coin toss and unbelievable mismanagement by their opposition with 13 seconds left. Hard to agree with your statement.

I want to confirm something. We all understand that holding a double digit lead from 4 minutes left in the 3rd through all of the 4th until 0:25 left in the game and winning by 8 is winning easily in the NFL, yes? The Bills were not aggressive, they didn’t take chances and they won easily. I love watching Allen light it up as much as the next guy, but it wasn’t necessary in this game. They dictated the game, didn’t let Chubb get going, dared Brissett to win it for the Browns and he couldn’t do it. Is our cornerback situation currently pretty mediocre? Of course. Is that likely to be resolved this season? I think it will. Most if not all teams in the league have bigger areas of concern than the Bills. With 2 games in 5 days here, it makes sense to be cautious against a team you can beat with a C+ effort. That’s what this was.

What is this crap? “Claw their way into the playoffs”? They’re going to be favored in every game the rest of the year. They’re much more likely to get the #1 seed than miss the playoffs.

Saying the most likely outcome of the Bills remaining division games is a 2-2 record is the most ignorant thing I’ve read in this thread. 3 out of 4 at home and they’ll be favored in all 4. 3-1 is probably the most likely, but 4-0 is much more likely than 2-2. This place is a cesspool whenever the team loses a couple games, it’s so typical and boring. Those that whine and moan about close losses with half the starting defense out shouldn’t be allowed to enjoy the wins. The best bellwether of future success is point differential, where the Bills are still a healthy #1 in the NFL. I expect the standings to reflect this by the end of the year.

Are you suggesting there is a possibility Taron is moved from starting slot corner to reserve safety? That isn’t going to happen.

The Bills are 244 YPG better than Baltimore defensively through 3 games. The Bills are 61 YPG better than Baltimore offensively through 3 games. The Bills point differential is 31 points better than Baltimore through 3 games. The Bills have played against better opponents than Baltimore. If it weren’t for the injuries, the spread would be BUF -7.

Just to be clear, your expectation is that the Bills would be successful on less than 50% of 2-pt conversion attempts?

It’s not about chasing points, it’s about maximizing expected points. The more times you score, the more we would expect this to positively effect the outcome as long as we are more likely to be successful than not.

I don’t know what the stats have been, but with them not being great in short yardage they still have been very good once they get within the 5.