Long Suffering Fan
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Posts posted by Long Suffering Fan
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45 minutes ago, Bleeding Bills Blue said:
End of the day - you beat good QBs with guys like bernard making a play here and there. Edmunds closing throwing lanes is valuable, but its less valuable when you're playing a good QB who can either still find the window, or buy enough time to create one.
This.
I love this balanced assessment. I was not a big fan of Edmunds, but I found myself defending him in casual conversations because, despite his lack of big plays here, he did cause headaches for QBs because of his length and speed. 100% I will take Bernard over him, especially since I expect Bernard to improve and I agree with your statement that the best QBs were less impacted by Edmunds.
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11 hours ago, AlfaBill said:
Did you lose your boy at 4?
No. As I said, there was a time in his life...(when he was a toddler).
Instead, he grew older so that he was just at the right age to really appreciate and savor the drought when it happened.
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There was a time in my son's life where the Bills went to the Super Bowl every single year he was alive.
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3 hours ago, Zerovoltz said:
The nearest defender was 7 yards away.....
Zero, this probably won't help, but since you are normally a reasonable-ish poster. Watch the feet in the above videos. In the one where he slides, he leans back, folds one leg back and kicks the other one out like a normal slide. In the other one he stutter steps and changes direction.
The feet tell the story.
Plus, the fact that the guy he has to juke is not in frame also proves it was a change of direction and not a fake slide. There was no guy about to hit him that he was trying to fake out into letting up.
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The guy was a special coach.
He did amazing things as the D coord of NYGs and got 2 SB rings that way. One, very painfully, at our expense. Then he rebuilt a terrible Browns team and took him to the playoffs. Next he started to rebuild a terrible Pats team. When we look at stats like this, it is misleading because it is two rebuilding periods (without Tom) that are in the numbers. Next, he wins the SB with Tom and, his first year, I'm not sure Tom should get all that credit. I think he has one TD pass that entire playoffs. Later he goes 11-5 (?) with Matt Cassel when Toms out. Next, he dragged Mac Jones to the playoffs.
Tom became amazing, but that shouldn't diminish Bill. Just to be clear, I do not like either of them and Bill has been a personal demon for me up until this year.
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Unfortunately not as good as...It might be chilly. Still, I like it and thanks for posting it.
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It's like playing Renegade before the Steelers. I like it.
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33 minutes ago, Since1981 said:
3 coordinators in 18 months
and unless I’m mistaken, no improvement in his results.
I mean, by counting Dabol you are making it sound as if McD failed in that hire. When someone does so well that he gets hired away as a head coach that should count for McD, not against.
And, to say no improvement in results....isn't it too early to make that statement about Brady?
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18 hours ago, HoofHearted said:
The Bills are Not Successful Running from Gun
Great job, Hoof. I appreciate this analysis.
If I were to quibble, I would say that it is not all shotgun runs in all situations that are the problem. The ones that don't pass (my) eye test are ones to Cook, on a delay with him standing there, where he runs between the tackles. Sometimes Josh even has to move toward Cook to give him the ball while he was standing there waiting for it.
The same run is not as bad with other RBs and the one where Cook runs in front of Allen and takes the shotgun handoff also seems to be better. I don't know if it is just because Cook is at his best when he has speed or that he is running outside.
13 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:There is no run from shotgun, or any formation for that matter, that would have a better statistical conversion rate as a QB Sneak or Tush Push would from inside the 1 yard line with Josh Allen.
This. Even if you don't run the Tush Push, threatening it forces the defense to commit to stopping it. Just going to shotgun in that situation seems counter intuitive...and we had a very obvious example where it failed spectactulary.
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I don't know if it can be fixed, but I have the same frustration. I am so sick of a penalty being called on a crucial 3rd down stop (that is the same as a turnover!) or a big gain and it is the definition of ticky-tack. Then, the infuriating in game official joins the broadcast and says that is definitely a penalty and they will call that every time. Ugh. It happens on almost every play and it has not been called all game.
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I can't believe you guys and Madden. Get yourself an Atari and play some Activision football. 4 on 4 - my boss move is blitzing. If I don't get the sack, I run off the screen and wrap around as a safety and pick off the pass. I don't understand why the Bills don't do that.
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17 hours ago, theRalph said:
How is it possible that the Bills or any NFL team has anything other than a CREATIVE FOOTBALL GENIUS scheming this talented offensive roster? It's kind of incredible that the Bills own YT channel has aired these truths from the mouth of Dan Orlovsky, when the press conferences are laden with cliches.
Two things he said on this really stuck out to me:
1. I LOVE the idea of running 4x1 - Diggs alone on one side of the field and motion the back to or just go 4 WR to the other side. Force them to obviously leave Diggs 1 on 1 with a safety in the middle of the field - a match up I would take every time - or to double Diggs. If they double Diggs, work the other side/run a crosser to Diggs side, etc. That is a formation that works really well when you have a WR who is better than the other teams #1 corner. We have that guy.
2. Attack the two high shell with play action or by putting the LBs in conflict. It is what opens the intermediate routes.
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40 minutes ago, teef said:
i have to imagine he does it every so often based on play design, but a game or two ago, the announcers were going out of their way to show how allen was a qb going through his reads, (showed clips as well). who knows.
29 minutes ago, Process said:Allen has his flaws but this just seems like typical click bait from the cover1 guys.
It was a designed deep shot. Allen probably got what he wanted and saw Harty one on one with no safety deep. So he took it.
Our "speedy" WR got zero separation.
I don't have an issue with this play.
First, I love Josh. I love watching him play. I love the adventure. So, I'm biased.
Teef and Process nailed it.
He is not perfect, but sometimes the design is to go a certain direction based on a pre-snap read. When Tom Brady was leading the league with a ridiculously short snap to pass time, he was making a lot of reads and decisions pre-snap. This is so powerful and so recognized by the entire league, that defenses often work really hard to disguise their coverages.
I often see Josh go through a progression after snap, but not every play is supposed to be that. This one, with the way it turned out, and with the play action, and the turning your back to the defense - we can't know for sure, but this was likely a designed shot play. Take it if the safety comes down and you have one on one.
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7 minutes ago, MPL said:
McDermott made the mistake of being a defensive head coach and that doesn't mix with Cowherd's ongoing tirade about offensive coaches being the only coaches who win Super Bowls. Something that he only started talking about in the past two years. Cowherd was very pro McDermott before that.
This. I used to watch Cowherd, so I can confirm that.
The whole thing about offensive coaches is not only confirmation bias, but a bit of self fulfilling prophecy. Since the majority of new head coaches are former OCs, the majority of the best coaches will naturally be former OC's. That is the self-fulfilling prophecy part. The confirmation bias comes in when people mention Shanny (a truly great offensive coach), but leave out Josh McDaniels, Eberflus, Lafluer, Hackett, etc. whose teams have struggled.
That said, the NFL rule change direction has emphasized offense. The fact that OCs are so sought after for HC jobs has created more turmoil for HCs with defensive backgrounds who are likely to lose their OC the moment he looks good.
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20 hours ago, Limeaid said:
blah Blah BLAH BLAH anything you do not agree with blah Blah BLAH BLAH
Balin's inarguable bs
Some need to mount it on ground and then mount it.
Oh, that episode was terrible. I got a shiver down my spine when I played the clip. I remember even hating it as a kid.
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14 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
NE is going nowhere and the way they stay on the road to nowhere is by racking up enough wins to be drafting 13th or 14th, when all of the good QBs are gone.
Yes! This! I root for NE almost every week for this reason. I want them to finish with 8 wins and 9 losses for the next 20 years.
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58 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:
According to the article I posted that wasn’t the only flag that got picked up. Also there were a multitude of issues with the refs. Just curious why you are harping ad nauseam on just that specific situation. If one was to objectively wonder about the refereeing in the game there’s plenty to discuss.
I would guess that he his harping on this because it was so egregious and it happened on the game winning drive?
There was all sorts of bad referring in a certain game 6 Stanley Cup OT game against the Dallas Stars. However, I tend to focus on just one thing more than others.
In both cases we still could have lost even if the right call was made, but they just were so blatant.
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2 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said:
Not saying it determined outcome of game or Bills played well enough to win. Just curious if NFL said anything about the call.
What made it so bad was not that it was missed. The flag was thrown. Calls get missed all the time, but It wasn't missed. It was picked up.
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9 hours ago, Motorin' said:
The Bills run game has been inconsistent from under center this year? I think not.
The only games the Bills couldn't run was when they insisted on running from out of shotgun.
But it's not just the run game that better under center, it's the pass game too.
That's exactly what the numbers say.
9 hours ago, FrenchConnection said:Actually the first TD drive against the Giants was almost exclusively created with shotgun draws to Murray.
Murray is much better from the shotgun run than Cook. I assume that is because Cook's major asset is speed and Murray leans more toward power. Josh catches the ball, there is a pause, then he puts the ball into Cook's stomach at a standstill, he runs between the tackles, and it doesn't work well. I don't mind the version so much where Cook runs in front of Josh and takes it more off tackle/sweep. At least he is moving, plus he has a little more time to accelerate.
I get that you have to mix it up and Cook has to run some from shotgun, but the eye test tells me that Cook should get 80-90% of his runs with Josh under center...at least my eye test does.
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3 minutes ago, Casey D said:
A combination of good blitzes, and excellent man-to-man coverage aided by lots of tripping and clutching and grabbing by the Giants, utterly spoiled the Bills game plan.
One of the things that bothers me the most about announcers is when they show a borderline PI call and then say that the refs will always call that. Come on, announcer dude. You have to know that it is a coin flip at best that it would get called. All you had to do was pay attention to the game you were calling and you would have seen it uncalled several times. Collingsworth is terrible with that nonsense.
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1 hour ago, Another Fan said:
This feels like to me the football gods gave us this one to make up a little for Wide Right, the 07 Dallas game, and the 09 Patriots game. All other prime time games too.
It’s like you’re playing the Giants on prime time TV. You didn’t deserve to win but there you go
Any good luck coming back our way from Wide Right can only be applied if it allows us to win a Super Bowl. I'm not letting that marker be used on anything less than that.
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Good stuff, Chaos. I have a very similar take.
Right now, in the passing game, we can almost pick up 6-7 yards at will. The problem is, if you toss in a run for no game during a set of downs, then you have to be money on third down and all it takes is a dropped pass, a blown assignment by an olineman, etc. and you are punting. This is what happened against the jags. A lot of punting on 4th and less than 2 because of a dropped pass or a bad run earlier in the set of downs. It is also important to realize that not all run games are created equal. I'm not saying don't run. I'm saying that SF can run when they are behind the sticks, but we should only do that rarely.
And please stop that junky delayed, shotgun handoff to Cook.
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49 minutes ago, Call_Of_Ktulu said:
Might be able to finish his career as a FS, no way he has the speed to play CB after this. I pray he has a successful surgery/rehab
My experience with both ACL and Achilles (I've had both done) is that the Achilles is far less likely to impact speed than the ACL. The Achilles repair is so easy and so durable that all you have to do is re-strengthen that calf muscle. If you don't, you will lose speed and you will feel like you are running on a flat tire. A professional rehab should avoid that problem.
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2 hours ago, JTown said:
The interesting thing to me is Why do you feel that the mods took your post down?
Was it because of the thread that it was in?
Nothing nefarious. It was a thread I started that was caught up in the wash of other threads started about Frazier. I thought it was different enough. My bad.
44 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:You aren't wrong that Frazier might not have been good enough, in the Bills situation, to win a SB with.........but in fairness to your post being relegated.........it was a LONG WAY to go to make a pretty common fan point.
Fair. It is long. But there was an argument being made at that time that people who were glad Frazier was gone were idiots. I felt that the heart of the matter was that we didn't think he was bad, just not good enough. I thought it was an insightful comparison.
I'm a heavy reader here, but not a heavy poster, so I kind of forgot about it until now.
Ryan Bates traded
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Cap space is like draft picks -
1. It can be converted into players.
2. A draft pick in the same round is worth more this year, than next year.
Because of the way a cap hit can be pushed to future years (but eventually the bill comes due), I always look at total cap space saved - this year and in the future. Say we only save 1.4M this year, but 5M overall. That 3.6M we save in 2025 is still valuable. It allows us to possibly restructure another contract and push more money into next year. If we don't, then it helps us next year.
I get that we have to have the other contract to restructure and I get that we could do it anyway without the trade and just make our cap situation worse in 2025. Cap space this year is always worth more, but cap space in the future always has value - like draft picks.