ColoradoBills
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Posts posted by ColoradoBills
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On 4/11/2024 at 1:06 PM, SoonerBillsFan said:
I am betting we trade 28 to Carllina for 33 and a 3rd. 1st pick of the 2nd round which gives us tons of ammo.
I'm thinking trading back for Washington's Pick #40 and #78 or Washington's Pick #36 and #100.
I think Washington would want to get back into the 1st round.
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This is why I don't believe the cap going up enables teams to get better players, it's just more money for the current talent.
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Once again, why won't fans learn to wait for the details before jumping to conclusions.
Replacing Brown, LOL.
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Being a one-time football great doesn't give him a pass with me. I've washed my hands of him years ago.
People can think what they want.
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2 minutes ago, Augie said:
Brady used to piss me off when he’d start a game with 11 straight completions to 8 different guys.
I do believe that was all Brady and HIS gameplan. I so want Josh to start to think that way.
Sometimes you have to purposely wait for the 3rd read to come open.
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24 minutes ago, GASabresIUFan said:
The more I read about Josh and DIggs this seems like addition by subtraction.
The Bills have a new OC, the Bills went 7-2 with that OC and a diminished role for Diggs. Josh was much better at spreading the ball around to Shakir, Kincaid and Cook who rewarded him by catching 80% of his throws as opposed to Davis and Diggs who caught 61% or less.
The Bills also clear an expensive Prima Donna out of the locker-room. We may look back at the Diggs trade and call it Josh Freedom Day. Now Josh can literally scan the field and throw to who is open instead of force feeding Diggs to keep him happy.
I wonder if the dropped ball against KC was the last straw for Diggs in Buffalo.
People are justifiably worried about how we make up the 241 targets, 152 catches, 1926 yards and 15 TDs that walked out the door with Diggs and Davis. Add in Harty, Murray, Sherfield and Harris and you have another 67 Targets to re-allocate.
I'd argue that this is a classic Moneyball situation where we'll make up for the loss in the aggregate. Josh targets a Receiver (TE, RB or WR) about 550 times per season. Next season Knox (36 targets), Kincaid (91), Shakir (45) and Ty Johnson (7) all should have expanded roles with Kincaid likely going form 90 to 120 targets and Shakir going as high as 85 or 90. UFAs signees Samuel (92) and Hollins (30) and I can easily see them repeating those numbers in Buffalo. Now add a high draft pick at WR to the mix. Davis, as a rookie, was targeted about 65 times, and that seems like a reasonable place to start for a new player.
Kincaid 91 --> 120
Shakir 45 --> 90
Samuel 92 --> 90
Rookie WR 0 --> 65
Cook 54 --> 60
Knox 36 --> 50
Hollins 30 --> 30
Johnson 7 --> 30
Others 6 --> 10
This allocation would actually decrease the throws to the receivers (from 330 to 280), but increase the usage of the TEs (from 130 to 170).
This would be a much more balanced passing attack and make it much much harder to defenses to defend.
This is what I keep saying. Make the D defend the entire field, not one guy.
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Nobody is getting a pass, least off Brandon Beane.
He (and McD) are not going anywhere. They are more than competent in their jobs.
IF they were fired teams from around the league would be lining up to hire them.
As Will Sonnet said, "No brag, just fact".
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I see no reason for Josh Allen and the Bills WRs needing to get together to practice before the draft.
There is plenty of time after the draft.
Let the guys have a couple of months off.
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Just now, Billy Claude said:
OK. I guess he could be cut without much pain. I would rather go with him than an unknown. At least, we know Bass has been a good kicker in the past.
Of course that is the hope. My point is to bring in camp competition as insurance against him losing it all together.
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I am hoping that Bass gets over his bad season. I like the man and the player.
He does need camp competition. I wouldn't mind a 7th round pick (or a priority UDFA) coming to camp.
I just (for the sake of discussion) want to disprove the "Bass's contract in too expensive to move on from" nonsense.
IF a rookie kicker was drafted in the 7th and made the team the $ numbers look like this.
Bass - Post June cut - $100k 2024 cap savings.
Rookie 7th rounder - $815k.
Bass has a 2025 $3M dead cap but due $4.7M. Equates to a cap savings of $1.7M, whereas the rookie would cost less than $1M.
The 2026, 2027 cap savings would be over $8M.
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/tyler-bass-47784/
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5 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
Here's 4 relatively conservative projections for 2024
Targets Yards Yards/Target
Kincaid 110 800 7.3
Shakir 80 800 10
Samuel 90 750 8.3
All RBs 80 650 8.1Last year all the RBs had 86 targets. Personally, I like to see that go up slightly to 100 for the season.
That equates to 1 more per game.
FWIW, Johson was 7 of 7 for 8.9 yards per reception.
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10 minutes ago, Freddie's Dead said:
Million dollar mistake.
Pick #32 - $12.1M contract.
Pick #64 - $6.3M contract.
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11 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:
Imagine what he could do if he had the film study habits of Brady
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Not sure I understand why there is this need for one of the Bills WRs to take over as the primary target and needing to amass a bunch of yards.
I feel that Josh Allen is best when he distributes the ball more evenly. There have been times that has happened, and it was successful.
Spread the ball around this season. Shakir will get his targets but doesn't need 100+ of them.
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Knox is not a gadget player, but I could see him being the "forgotten" man in the passing attack and slipping out with a lot of field
in front of him. That's how I would design some plays. A healthy season could net him 7 TDs.
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4 minutes ago, SoonerBillsFan said:
More importantly who is the gatekeeper and key master?
If someone ask's you, "are you are a god"? You answer "YES".
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I will miss a lot of the veteran players that Beane moved on from.
In the long run it's what has to happen to an aging team. I think it would have been bad to have all these guys return especially if
the end result was worse than last season.
It's a bit of a reset with a fresh start. Time for some of the young guys to step up!
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Who really is the "server" and who is the "master"?
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Been on vacation to DC to take in all the sites. Had a great time, especially being a student of history.
Haven't caught up on all the threads. Sorry if I missed this being posted somewhere.
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12 hours ago, PBF81 said:
The point is that it's a season gone by.
Same as if I offered you a free meal somewhere next year. It doesn't help you out now/this year.
Beane keeps kicking the can down the road on certain things, but one thing he's never done is devoted even one offseaon, much less more, much less a string of them, into building around the one thing/player upon which our destiny hinges.
Don't get me wrong, I totally get your point. We have to wait to see how Beane uses the 2025 pick. Most likely he trades it.
On another note. I for one am not a big fan of too many "void year" contracts and too many restructures. All it does is open risk to too much dead money.
Beane has pushed it pretty hard hoping for the rings but reality has set in and it's time to regroup.
What cracks me up is many fans NOW complaining about too much dead money but are the same people wanting to restructure every player on the team.
It's a balancing act that got a little out of hand and now it's time to pay the piper. I got no problem with that.
Im still hopeful that the team can compete this year at a high level!
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5 minutes ago, PBF81 said:
Which as they say, translates to a 3rd this year.
That's the cost IF you want to use it this year. Maybe Beane holds on to it.
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4 minutes ago, Chaos said:
Diggs was my second favorite Bill. From a pure asset management stand point maybe this was a right move (although we did not get a second back, we got a second minus a fifth and minus a sixth back) And the one given up was an earlier pick than the second is likely to be even round adjusted. But again, maybe the correct assett management decision. But its hard to see the Bills being better in 2024 than they were in the last couple of years. Given the personnel turnover on the Defense and coaching, plus this, it seems as though we are giving Beane/McDermott basically a complete second rebuild shot
I guess some fans see it as a "complete rebuild". It's the natural way of football when older players need to be moved on from IMO.
My main point was in regards to Diggs current cost compared to what his future production is perceived to be.
We will have to wait for the season to see how it all works out.
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Diggs cost a 1st (and change) to acquire.
His cost has been $19.5M per year for 4 years AAV.
Now Beane gets a 2nd back.
Diggs did his job but he is not worth pushing $30M a year for future years.
If I look at it that way, it's a wash and time for someone younger to take it farther.
Everything has it's time and Beane no doubt thoughts it's now.
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To take a lesson from last year. We went into the season without any LBs. How did that work out.
Just let things take it's course and see what the roster looks like in August and how they play in September.
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Pegulas selling 25% of the Bills, per Tim Graham
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
As much as the Buffalo Bills have appreciated in value, selling the 25% to finance everything seems pretty smart to me.
His net worth has been rising every year and he just sits back from now on and makes money.
As for the "investor", if it's a guy who wants to get his name in the running for a team of his/her own in the future, it makes sense.
In the meantime, he sits back and makes money for doing nothing.