jsh1031
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Posts posted by jsh1031
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Two things I found encouraging and worth mentioning, after diving into this pick a little deeper:
(1) On-Field Production
Williams' on-field production was incredible last year (as well as prior years). Comparing the 4 LBs taken within 7 picks of each other in the 3rd round, Williams led all players in tackles, solo tackles, sacks, pass deflections, and interceptions.
- Daiyan Henley (#85): 106 tackles, 54 solo, 4 sacks, 1 pass deflection, 3 forced fumbles, 1 int
- Trenton Simpson (#86): 73 tackles, 41 solo, 2.5 sacks, 3 pass deflections, 2 forced fumbles, 0 int
- DeMarvion Overshown (#90): 95 tackles, 49 solo, 4 sacks, 5 pass deflections, 0 forced fumbles, 0 int
- Dorian Williams (#91): 131 tackles (9th in the country), 81 solo (3rd in the country), 5 sacks, 7 pass deflections (t-5th in country for LBs), 2 forced fumbles, 2 int
I understand there is a difference in level of competition between some of these players (and that stats do not really tell the full story), but I think Williams' production is still relevant and not being mentioned enough.
(2) Age
Williams entered college early, so even though he was a senior and played 4 years at Tulane, he is only 21 years old (DOB: 6-28-2001) and is the same age as the underclassmen who entered the draft. Williams is 1 year younger than Overshown and Campbell, 1 1/2 years younger than Sanders, and 2 years younger than Henley. Simpson, an early-entry junior, is only 2 weeks younger than Williams....I know the "age" factor was beaten to death with Tremaine Edmunds, but Williams' 4-years of college experience + younger age/potential upside, is a intriguing combo.
While his size (-) and his plus-athleticism - 4.49 forty, 1.54 10-yard split, 8.82 RAS - have garnered much of the attention on here, I think his on-field production, in conjunction with his young age, should not be overlooked as well...I'm cautiously optimistic about this pick, and more encouraged about it than I was last week Friday after a little more digging.
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Best course of action is to stay put at #25 in my opinion. The very top of the draft may not be as star-studded compared to years' past, but the depth all the way through to Pick #25 is solid. While the top 6-7 players may be in a tier above, I think the grades from players 8-30 or so are pretty similar, so I would let the board come to us and simply grab the highest rated player to fall in our lap at 25, ideally a WR or CB...I'm fairly optimistic that one of Olave, Burks, J. Williams, London, Stingley, McDuffie, or Booth will be available at our pick. 25 is a perfect spot to be in this year's draft. Stay put and don't waste the assets to move up in Round 1.
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Dalvin Tomlinson still seems like the Bills ideal target - 1-tech run stuffing DT, low salary, FA after the season. Tricky to get done without a 4th round pick this year, but I would offer a 2022 4th rd pick + conditional 5th round pick this year (if he re-signs). Problem is the Giants, if they are even open to dealing him, could be looking for at least a 3rd this year, and that would be too rich of a price to pay just for 7-8 games IMO.
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Listing of Bills final cuts ONLY please
in The Stadium Wall
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