Dark

I think 7 to 10 win range feels about right. The key to this season is establishing the running game with Shady and Motor and then play action deep shots will obviate completion percentage and play to Josh's strengths. The defense will be Top 10 and could be elite in the coming years. I think Josh will end up with something like 3,400 pass yards 22 TDs and 13 INTs with ~400 rush yards and 3 TDs, but the ability to establish the run will be the key to wins.

I think I got all my skepticism out tonight. I hope Josh Allen has a Hall of Fame career.

I think trying to analyze what a player is going to do in the NFL by their comments and reaction to the draft is just noise. Completion percentage on the other hand . . .

Are the stats invalid? Or are they more valid than anecdotes like "he played with a lot of bad players at Wyoming, so his completion percentage doesn't matter"? And the pattern of inaccuracy does matter. The basis of the critique of those who didn't want Allen was his low completion percentage. It has been an incredibly consistent predictor of what a QB will do at the next level. I don't think most fans are raging against Allen because they personally dislike him or want him to fail, it's just that a low completion percentage is a BIG RED FLAG.

He also has played in snow, so there is that.

Has he always had a bad supporting cast or is he just inaccurate?

Whoa. "Morally a sleezeball" for calling a football player a bust?

Here is the value of the two trades based on the commonly accepted trade value chart. Yes, the value between 7 and 10 is different. The Bills still got fleeced:

Love this pick. He brings a lot of qualities Preston Brown didn't have.

How is your hypothetical "just a fact"? Aren't you "making things up"?

So if they gave up all of next year's draft for the 5th pick, we couldn't talk about the disparity because the picks are "very different". bull ****. The Bills overpaid.

1. We gave up two second rounders in a deep draft to move up 5 spots. The Cardinals gave up a 3rd and a 5th to move up 5 spots. And we probably didn't even need to trade up. That may not be giving up the farm, but damn, I'd rather have those two second rounders if we didn't need to move. 2. You argument is very compelling. I'm worried that he hasn't completed 60% of his passes in a single season going all the way to middle school, but your "Hahahaha" has changed my mind.

Why trade up for Allen? He's gonna be a bust.

I agree. I think many draft prognosticators underestimate the message sent by a team when taking a QB early. It really defines where the organization is going and many GMs don't want to intentionally cause drama on their teams. I believe this applies to the Giants, Broncos, and Dolphins in this year's draft of teams who are rumored to be looking at QB.