This is a fun toy. I sketched out this scenario:
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) April 4, 2024
Black voters shift from D+82 to D+70
Hispanics shift from D+37 to D+15
Whites shift from R+13 to R+12
Biden wins!
(not a forecast but a good illustration of the "most voters are white" principle) https://t.co/NSZLdFDykS