Bills probabilties, per ESPN Football Power Index:

Make playoffs: 0.3%
Win division: 0.2%
Top 10 pick: 64.0% (prev. 90.2%)
Top 5 pick: 15.3% (prev. 51.3%)
No. 1 pick: 0.3% (prev. 5.8%)

Eight teams have higher chance for No. 1 pick: OAK, AZ, NYJ, SF, NYG, CLE, TB, DET

— Mike Rodak (@mikerodak) November 12, 2018