We have a new No. 1 team in Football Outsiders weighted DVOA, reflecting how well teams are playing now by lowering the strength of early-season games.

Hello, Buffalo Bills.

Up to 17.6% to win the Super Bowl in our simulations (4th-highest). https://t.co/2oG6trK9iw#BillsMafia

— Aaron Schatz 🏈 (@ASchatzNFL) January 4, 2021