they snuck a model in as if it were data.

that's a dirty trick.

don't fall for it.

here's the key.

fun fact: ND and SD had the same number of hosp/mm on 8/8 and on 9/7.

and MT was the big loser, up 97% vs 66% in SD.

"synthetic control" loses to "real control" pic.twitter.com/HfdsdNJjkc

— el gato malo (@boriquagato) September 8, 2020