I've been hesitant to write a 🧵on the current tactical situation & what might happen next. But @DAlperovitch's view of potential outcomes (RT below) cause me to weigh in.

His view is plausible, but I don't believe it accurately portrays the current situation. 1/ https://t.co/GZnYANZwj0

— Mark Hertling (@MarkHertling) June 21, 2022