ABC/W Post poll (registered voters):

A year ago: R 51% - D 41%. That would have been a wave.

Now: R 49% - D 48%. The one point margin unchanged from six week ago (R 47% - D 46%). Likely voters are almost same at R 50% - D 48%.

No wave. A level playing field with slight R tilt.

— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) November 6, 2022