Maybe something people don't get is that it's possible to have both a very wide range and a reasonably confident prediction about which party gets 218+ seats. This is from the Deluxe version of our forecast, for instance. https://t.co/auwMtE7pvc pic.twitter.com/9ikSWTh3vL

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 5, 2018